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Zero-Hours Contract Ban Could Cost Businesses £3bn a Year

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Banning Zero-Hours Contracts Could Cost Businesses Up to £3 Billion a Year

The UK government’s proposed ban on zero-hours contracts has sparked a heated debate over its potential economic impact. The analysis suggests that banning these contracts could cost businesses up to £3 billion annually, sparking concerns about the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposal.

Zero-hours contracts have become increasingly prevalent in industries such as hospitality and retail, offering employers flexibility during peak demand periods but leaving employees uncertain about their hours and earnings. The proposed reforms aim to address this by giving workers more security and predictability, including compensation for shifts being cut or moved at short notice.

The government’s analysis estimates that the right to compensation will result in payments of between £5 million and £1.2 billion. However, critics argue that these costs are prohibitively high for many small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), with the British Retail Consortium estimating that retailers alone will have to spend hundreds of millions of pounds updating their HR and payroll systems.

Some question whether improved worker wellbeing and engagement will translate into increased productivity. Research has shown that stress, depression, and anxiety accounted for 22.1 million lost working days in 2024/25, equivalent to around £6.5 billion in lost output. However, it is unclear whether the proposed reforms will be enough to address these issues.

Critics also argue that adding further costs for employers will exacerbate youth unemployment, which is already soaring. The British Chambers of Commerce has warned that the increased cost to businesses will be a “further hammer blow” for many firms struggling to stay afloat.

The debate over banning zero-hours contracts is not new; similar proposals have been floated in the past but stalled due to concerns about economic implications. This time around, the stakes are higher, and the consequences of failure will be more severe.

As the government consults on the proposed reforms, it must carefully weigh competing interests. Protecting workers’ rights is essential, but so too is ensuring that businesses can operate effectively in a rapidly changing economy. To strike this balance, the government should consider nuanced policies that address the complexities of modern work arrangements rather than blanket bans.

By working with industry stakeholders and listening to their concerns, the government can create more effective solutions that benefit both workers and businesses alike. This will require a thoughtful approach that takes into account the needs of all parties involved.

Reader Views

  • EK
    Editor K. Wells · editor

    The proposed ban on zero-hours contracts may be well-intentioned, but we need to consider its unintended consequences. While compensation for shift changes is essential for workers' financial stability, the estimated £1.2 billion cost to businesses will undoubtedly impact small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) hardest. A more nuanced approach might be to implement a tiered system of penalties, allowing larger companies with deeper pockets to absorb costs while providing smaller firms with exemptions or temporary phase-out periods. This would prevent SMEs from being priced out of the market altogether.

  • CS
    Correspondent S. Tan · field correspondent

    While the proposed ban on zero-hours contracts aims to protect workers from uncertainty and exploitation, we need to consider the elephant in the room: job creation. The £3 billion cost could be a heavy burden for businesses already struggling to stay afloat, potentially leading to reduced hiring or even redundancies. SMEs will be particularly hard hit, with some estimating they'll have to spend millions on system updates alone. Can we afford to sacrifice jobs and economic growth in the name of worker security?

  • CM
    Columnist M. Reid · opinion columnist

    While the proposed ban on zero-hours contracts has its merits, the economic cost cannot be dismissed so lightly. A more nuanced approach would be to phase out these contracts in industries where they're least needed, such as food service and retail, rather than imposing a blanket ban across all sectors. This would allow businesses time to adjust their staffing models and potentially mitigate the estimated £3 billion annual hit.

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